FREE TIP FOR 31.10.2015

Mogi Mirim SP - Ceara CE

Brasil Seria B

Mogi need miracle to avoid relegation, chances are very low. Board released 11 players, coach left team too, so club will be focused on work with players who will be part of squad for next season.
 
Weakened and unmotivated vs Ceara , team who need points to continue fight to keep league status. Ceara won last two rounds, at home vs Boa and away big win vs 1st placed Botafogo.
 Odds should drop in next hours so I use this price now.

 Pick:  Ceara/ odds: 1,75

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FREE TIP FOR 31.10.2015

Livorno - Trapani 

Italy

LIVORNO: 

Pinsoglio; Maicon, Ceccherini, Vergara, Lambrughi; Schiavone, Cazzola; Jelenic, Aramu, Pasquato; Vantaggiato.

 

TRAPANI: 

Nicolas; Rizzato, Scognamiglio, Perticone, Fazio; Raffaello, Ciaramitaro, Eramo; Coronado; Montalto, Citro.

 

Livorno (5-2-3; 16:11)) stand at the 5th place: they had amazing start before to have negative results so coach Panucci changed something in his modul giving more protection to defense that allowed too many goals.

They won first 4 matches in a row but they collected just 5 points in the other 6 played: in the last 2 matches hosts anyway have kept clean sheets and with attack power they have this could be the key to win this match. 

 

Trapani (3-4-3; 12:13) started too at the best: they posted unbeaten streak of 7 matches in a row but lately something has gone badly and they lost 3 games in a row, to add coach Serse Cosmi have to consider to field his team without support of CD Terlizzi; MF Barillà, Basso, Nadarevic, Scozzarella and Sodinha; ATT Torregrossa (all regulars or potential first choices).

Pick:  Livorno/ odds: 1,95

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FREE TIP 28.10.2015

Zadar - Lokomotiva

Croatia Cup

Zadar is in a hard situation, after losing the license for the first division and getting relegated to the second division, almost all their experienced players left, they kept only some veterans like Terkes and Cirjak, the rest of the team is made by youngsters. 
Two weeks ago the players complained about not getting paid and it seemed like the club would lose the license again, but some people claimed to help and for now Zadar is still alive. They had a hard start in the season, stabilized a bit during the championship, but they are still in a hard relegation fight being on the 9th place after 14 rounds.

Lokomotiva is a first division team, they are the second team of Dinamo Zagreb and have some interesting young players and youth national team players. They had some bad results lately, so they are only on the 8th place in the first division, but recently they played a good match away against leading Hajduk Split, and they are surely able to beat a weak second division team like Zadar is. I also doubt how much ambitions Zadar has in the Cup because of their financial problems, because the Cup causes only more expenses, and less concentration on the relegation fight.

Pick:  Lokomotiva/ odds: 2,00

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FREE TIP FOR 28.10.2015

Kayserispor - Rizespor

Turkey

Kayserispor won against Eskisehir after 5 weeks and will host Rizespor tonight. The morale is very high after three points and they hope get all the points from Rizespor who lost their last 3 match in league.
If you can read this sentence you can think Kayserispor is close to win but it is not so easy.
Kayserispor is very limited squad and they won only against Eskişehirspor and Mersin which are on bottom of table.
And Rize's last matches were against Bursa - Besiktas and Akhisar.
Rize will be without Sylvester and Koray while Kayseri will miss Samba Sow and Simic.
As i told Kayserispor is very limited squad and the missing are very important.
Rize's squad have more quality with Kweuke, Deniz and Ahmet İlhan and i am sure they will win after 3 weeks.
The price is incredible. But i will choose DNB because Kayserispor is very defensive minded team with Tolunay Kafkas and i the price is still good and eleminate the small chance of draw.
Kweuke will score option is good who wants to have a little bit fun.

Pick:  Rizespor/ odds: 2,90

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FREE TIP FOR 27.10.2015

Bologna vs Inter Milan 

Italy

Italian Serie A round 10 game, 18th placed Bologna taking on 4th placed Inter. 3 points in this encounter could send the Nerazzurri top, while a win for Bologna could see them escape the dreaded relegation zone.

For this contest I see a huge difference in quality, Inter have quality players in every position on the pitch, they could field a very good starting 11 with their bench alone. That means that when they are missing players, they have backup players to come in and do the job in absence. Jeison Murillo who received a red card in round 9 will be banned for this game, meaning either Gary Medel (plays as CB for Chile) will drop back to defence and Marcelo Brozovic will come in or Juan Jesus will come in as a straight swap, with Medel a guaranteed starter in either position. Inter Milan's midfield is packed full of International class and talent, the aforementioned Gary "Pitbull" Medel, Fredy Guarin, Felipe Melo, Ivan Perisic to name a few. They also have a cutting edge up front with Jovetic and Icardi. Bologna have Rob Acquafresca and Franco Zuculini out injured.

Bologna have lost 4 of their 5 home games this season, while Inter have shown promising form on the road, with 2 wins and 2 draws. Inter Milan if they are serious about a return to the Champions League and serious about challenging for major honours in Italy again, need to be winning away games like this.

Pick:  Inter/ odds: 1,90

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FREE TIP FOR 24.10.2015

Cagliari-Trapani

Serie B

    

  Cagliari have 16 points in 8 games scoring 16 goals (the highest in the league) and conceding 8 (one of the best defense). At home the team scored 12 goals and conceded only 4, so +8 goals differential. At home the stats are impressive:

·      15 Wins (10 in the last 10) and 4 Draws at home for Cagliari in the last 19 games, the last team that won in Sardinia (in Tempio Pausania) was Piacenza for 2-0.

·      6 consecutive wins, 4-3 against Udinese (Serie A), 5-0 against Entella (Italy Cup), 4-0 against Crotone, 2-1 against Avellino, 3-2 against Latina and 3-1 against Cesena (all in Serie B).

Cagliari is one of the team in Serie B that scored the most in the last 30 minutes, 8 goals like Cesena.

In the previous match Cagliari lost against Novara for 1-0. This team changed the coach, this had an effect on this game, and also Cagliari seems to be a little inconsistent away, they scored only 4 goals. Also against Novara Sau was injuried (he should be back) and surprisingly Di Gennaro was on the bench. Instead of Di Gennaro played Fossati who is good but he’s more like a deep-lying playmaker rather than attacking midfielder. Di Gennaro is probably the best in the league and he should play from the start.

Trapani lost badly against Pescara in the previous match. The team have 13 points in 8 games (3-4-1), away is 1-2-0.  The team scored 10 goals and conceded 7, only 1 away. The players are quite nervous, this is a team that have the highest numbers of yellow cards after 8 games, 28.

So away Trapani is solid so far, rarely concede goals. They certainly want to do better than last time but they probably need to wait as Cagliari is eager to get the full 3 points.

Cagliari to win

Pick:  Cagliari/ odds: 1,67

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FREE TIP 21.10.2105

Wolfsburg v PSV

Round 3 of the Champions League group stage, Wolfsburg take on PSV at the Volkswagen Arena. Wolfsburg have played 2 games so far, winning 1-0 at home to CSKA Moscow and losing away to Manchester United 2-1. PSV have also played twice, a 2-1 win at home over Manchester United and a 3-2 defeat away in Moscow.
PSV were absolutely wasteful at the weekend, wasting chance after chance against Excelsior. A ridiculous mistake in the 91st minute from PSV goalkeeper Jeroen Zoet, where he decided to throw the ball short to a defender rather than hold onto it and punt it downfield, led to an Excelsior tap in from Nigel Hasselbaink, 2 points dropped that could be all important come the end of the Eredivisie season. Wolfsburg on the other hand got a much needed home win against Hoffenheim 4-2. Clinical finishing from Max Kruse as he scored a hat-trick.
Wolfsburg are fantastic at the Volkswagen Arena, the crowd really gets behind the team, the core of Wolfsburg's team is so strong, Naldo and Dante the two central defenders, Luiz Gustavo the holding midfielder, dependable Goalkeeper Diego Benaglio and a whole host of attacking talent in the form of Schurrle, Draxler, Caligiuri, Kruse, Dost. PSV are missing some important players for this trip to Germany, both full backs Santiago Arias and Jetro Willems are out. Koch and Jozefzoon injured. Maxime Lestienne who also missed the weekend game will not feature.

Another interesting fact is that PSV have not won any of their last 14 games away to German teams, a shocking run that dates all the way back to 1977. This run should be extended to 15 games as Wolfsburg are a dominant home team, Volkswagen Arena is a German fortress and after PSV's wasted chances at the weekend and lack of cutting edge, Wolfsburg should put them to the sword here.

Pick:  Wolfsburg/ odds: 1,68

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FREE TIP 21.10.2015

Fulham - Leeds 

English Championship

Disquiet from many fans of both sets re: their present managers.
The more noise is coming from the Leeds fans which is understandable as they have lost four out of their last five matches including two consecutive home defeats.
Fulham after their poor home defeat to Wolves have gained two draws on the road the latest being a good 0-0 away to 2nd placed Middlesbrough.

Their home league form wasn't that bad until they had that Wolves result.
I take Fulham to win this one and add to the problems for the Leeds manager Rosler who I think will inevitably get sacked there sooner rather than later.

Pick:  Fuhlam/ odds: 2,28

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FREE TIP 20.10.2015

Dynamo Kiev - Chelsea 

Champions League

Dynamo lost against Shakthar Donetsk 0-3 in the weekend at home, that is not the best preperation for this CL clash with a hungry Chelsea side. They have started the competition with a draw at home to Porto and then a win away to Maccabi Tel Aviv.
Chelsea won yesterday at home to Aston Villa, 2-0, but their chances of closing the gap to the top 3 teams are imo very slim, even if the season is young. No, their main focus must be CL now and they lost away to Porto last round and can't afford to drop points in this game.

Chelsea are the superior team here and even away from home should be treated as quite big favourites imo, fair odds around 2.20-2.25 imo.

Pick:  Chelsea/ odds: 2,70

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FREE TIP FOR 20.10.2015

Din Zagreb - Olympiakos 

Champions League

Champions League
Olympiakos is a very good shape, 7 wins in 7 games in their own league, the team won against Arsenal in London for 2-3 which is a fantastic achievement. They have 3 points in CL because they lost 3-0 at home against Bayern Munich which was expected of course.
Domingues and Pardo are doubtful and coach Marco Silva could be without Esteban Cambiasso, David Fuster, Andreas Bouchalakis and Giannis Maniatis.
Din Zagreb also have 3 points in CL, lost badly in Munich for 5-0 away and surprisingly won at home against Arsenal for 2-1. Dinamo at home is a bunker.
Schildenfeld and Pavicic are probably out and Sigali is doubtful.
This should probably be a balanced match but I'll go with Olympiakos draw no bet

Pick:  DNB Olympiakos / odds: 1,90

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FREE TIP 17.10.2015

Eibar - Sevilla

Spain

Eibar will host Sevilla in the match of the 8^th round of Spanish primera .
I see nice value on sevilla here . Eibar not playing so good lately and they have only one win in last 6 matches .  On other side sevilla after a slow start started to raising their form and they won last 2 matches in primera against Barcelona and vallecano .
This is also very important match for sevila as they will have very tough draw in next 3 rounds and they will play against Getafe , Villareal and Real Madrid , so this is the best chance for taking all 3 points .

For this match Sevilla will be stronger for Banega , Rami , Escudero and Tremoulina who missed their previous game , while Eibar will be without Jaime , Castellano and Luna.

Quality is surely on away side , and we can say motivation too so I expect win for Sevilla. 

Pick:  Sevilla / odds: 2,20

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FREE TIP 17.10.2015

Leczna - Jagiellonia 

Poland

  For another 10/10 pick i choose a game in Polish Ekstraklasa who i follow now for couples years .I will bet my money on Jagiellonia Draw No Bet or like others prefere Jagiellonia + 0AH what's the same :) Jagiellonia can't win since 3 games now and of course we should blame players but in my opinion its effect of many changes in last mercato ,...Jagiellonia lost great offensive players like Gajos ( Lech Poznan ) ,Tuszynski and Dzalamidze (both transfered to Turkey ),of course it's only 3 players and Jagiellonia bought other very good to repleced them  Like Alvarinho(Zawisza) or Cernych ( Leczna ;) but still team isnt playing like last season when they finnish Third in Polish Ekstraklasa .

Now coach Probierz had 2 weeks to prepare the team to the batle against Leczna and as I know his work he isnt a coach who will let to loose so much games .Leczna is perfect team to play because since Cernych left them they don't have really value players ,and Cernych left to Jagiellonia so he will be motivated on Saturday night .

Jagiellonia should break this bad run and win here ,with all respect for Leczna but they dont look like a team who can win here 

Pick:  Jagiellonia 0AH / odds: 1,95

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